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Rollout of Original position

Posted By: KenB
Date: Tuesday, 21 August 2012, at 11:09 p.m.

In Response To: Double? Take? (KenB)

I doubled this and I was surprised at how big the take was so I played withe the position...





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 128
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 114
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--b-BBEBB---c-----Bbcbba--:0:0:1:00:0:0:2:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.217% (G:12.203% B:0.517%) 72.618% (G:12.055% B:0.535%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.783% (G:5.219% B:0.141%) 27.382% (G:5.267% B:0.144%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5179 +1.0483
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8209 (-0.0542)±0.0117 (+0.8092..+0.8326)
xg Double/Take:+0.8751±0.0150 (+0.8601..+0.8901)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.1249)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 05 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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