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Blue with good builder on 4,5,6

Posted By: KenB
Date: Tuesday, 21 August 2012, at 11:24 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout of Original position (KenB)

This makes it a borderline take/pass.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 128
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 111
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--b-CCCBB---c-----Bbcbba--:0:0:1:00:0:0:2:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.067% (G:12.822% B:0.548%) 74.416% (G:12.648% B:0.567%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.933% (G:4.245% B:0.113%) 25.584% (G:4.347% B:0.128%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.5715 +1.1514
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.8359 (-0.1545)±0.0085 (+0.8273..+0.8444)
xg Double/Take:+0.9903±0.0125 (+0.9778..+1.0029)
     Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0097)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 10842456
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:93.5%
Duration: 17 minutes 31 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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