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Daily Quiz 5/30 - Donkey Variants - XGR++ Analysis

Posted By: Pilgrim
Date: Friday, 24 August 2012, at 4:45 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 5/30 - ROLLOUT (Pilgrim)

In my answer to this problem I suggested 13/7(2) may be a reasonable move and, in certain variations to the problem, the correct move.

The analysis below shows I am a donkey in all variations:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 127
1 point match
pip: 114
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---ABbD-E---cC---a-bcbaa--:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 33

1.XG Roller++13/10(3) 4/1eq: +0.5206
Player:
Opponent:
76.03% (G:1.92% B:0.01%)
23.97% (G:0.72% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++13/10(3) 6/3eq: +0.5148 (-0.0059)
Player:
Opponent:
75.74% (G:1.50% B:0.01%)
24.26% (G:0.74% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/7(2)eq: +0.1715 (-0.3491)
Player:
Opponent:
58.57% (G:6.76% B:0.35%)
41.43% (G:6.62% B:0.13%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 127
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 114
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---ABbD-E---cC---a-bcbaa--:1:-1:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.XG Roller++13/10(3) 4/1eq: +0.4400
Player:
Opponent:
75.87% (G:1.26% B:0.01%)
24.13% (G:0.70% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++13/10(3) 6/3eq: +0.4355 (-0.0045)
Player:
Opponent:
75.71% (G:1.21% B:0.01%)
24.29% (G:0.73% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/7(2)eq: +0.0239 (-0.4161)
Player:
Opponent:
58.85% (G:6.35% B:0.35%)
41.15% (G:6.55% B:0.11%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 127
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 109
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BBbD-D---cC---a-bcbaa--:0:0:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.XG Roller++13/10(3) 4/1eq: +0.9647
Player:
Opponent:
78.54% (G:1.58% B:0.01%)
21.46% (G:0.83% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++13/10(3) 6/3eq: +0.9564 (-0.0083)
Player:
Opponent:
77.91% (G:1.49% B:0.01%)
22.09% (G:0.83% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++13/7(2)eq: +0.5062 (-0.4585)
Player:
Opponent:
64.87% (G:9.14% B:0.55%)
35.13% (G:4.18% B:0.08%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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