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What is the really good play here?

Posted By: higonefive
Date: Monday, 27 August 2012, at 11:42 a.m.

In Response To: What is the really good play here? (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 1

score: 1
pip: 129
11 point match
pip: 127
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--ABbCCB----bBa---bc-c-bB-:0:0:-1:44:1:0:0:11:10
Blue to play 44

1.Rollout113/5(2)eq: +0,980
Player:
Opponent:		78,64% (G:18,98% B:1,01%)
21,36% (G:3,87% B:0,12%)		Conf.: ± 0,001 (+0,979...+0,981) - [100,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 47 seconds
2.Rollout121/13(2)eq: +0,906 (-0,074)
Player:
Opponent:		73,11% (G:12,23% B:0,37%)
26,89% (G:4,54% B:0,13%)		Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,903...+0,909) - [0,0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 37 seconds
3.XG Roller+21/17(2) 13/9(2)eq: +0,840 (-0,140)
Player:
Opponent:		70,70% (G:16,58% B:0,68%)
29,30% (G:6,78% B:0,18%)
4.3-ply21/17(2) 7/3(2)eq: +0,681 (-0,299)
Player:
Opponent:		66,65% (G:17,80% B:0,73%)
33,35% (G:8,30% B:0,25%)
5.3-ply13/9(2) 7/3(2)eq: +0,550 (-0,430)
Player:
Opponent:		63,08% (G:16,49% B:0,88%)
36,92% (G:6,73% B:0,17%)
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Even if you think you can get a take after running, nailing the acepoint must be right.

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