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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 28 August 2012, at 3:20 p.m.

In Response To: Somewhat busted backgame cube action (neilkaz)

OTB I felt that this position was a bare pass for money and AtS I couldn't decide whether it was techinically a take or drop. Therefore, since I was rather sure that I was about 150 Elo or more stronger than my opp I passed this position in which he basically has nothing but forced moves. The only plausable error he could make would be to err after I hit and recube.

Looking at the RO, perhaps I should've taken, but still I don't mind passing vs this opp.

		White is Neil score: 0 pip: 122 13 point match pip: 56 score: 2 Blue is toody
XGID=-BBBBBA---------A--bdcAfB-:0:0:-1:00:0:2:0:13:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	64.409% (G:29.448% B:2.557%)	64.355% (G:29.400% B:2.612%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	35.591% (G:0.004% B:0.000%)	35.645% (G:0.040% B:0.001%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.6164	+1.2341
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.8010 (-0.1132)	±0.0038 (+0.7971..+0.8048)
Double/Take:	+0.9142	±0.0060 (+0.9081..+0.9202)
Double/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.0858)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46746902 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 5 hours 04 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Somewhat busted backgame cube action
  neilkaz -- Sunday, 26 August 2012, at 8:16 p.m.
  • Somewhat busted backgame cube action
    Michael Petch -- Sunday, 26 August 2012, at 8:18 p.m.
    • Somewhat busted backgame cube action
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 26 August 2012, at 10:07 p.m.
  • Somewhat busted backgame cube action
    Taper_Mike -- Monday, 27 August 2012, at 12:38 a.m.
  • Somewhat busted backgame cube action
    ah_clem -- Monday, 27 August 2012, at 1:04 p.m.
  • OTB and RO
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 28 August 2012, at 3:20 p.m.