BGonline.org Forums

Three in one - Rollout

Posted By: smcrtorchs
Date: Tuesday, 28 August 2012, at 5:19 p.m.

In Response To: Three in one (Timothy Chow)

Below are the rollouts at the score. I also include at the end a money rollout for the checker play with the cube at the upper part of the board. Unfortunately the cureless equities are lost when u export, So I write them down under the rollout manually. This is for money only.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 4, boo 5 (match to 7 points)

Move number 2: boo on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	116
boo	71
Position ID: ttsQCBjH7TMAAA Match ID: cAngAEAAKAAA

• boo doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.550	(Money: +0.558)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.791
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.209
3.	No double	+0.773	-0.018
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.728 0.109 0.009 - 0.272 0.015 0.001 +0.550 +0.773 Standard error 0.001 0.005 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.005 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.725 0.258 0.030 - 0.275 0.021 0.001 +1.498 +0.791 Standard error 0.001 0.009 0.004 - 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.007 0.010
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689738281 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 4, boo 5 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: boo to play 53

gnubg	116
boo	71
Position ID: ttsQCBjH7TMAAA Match ID: cInuAEAAKAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	6/1 4/1	+0.551
			0.651 0.085 0.006 - 0.349 0.021 0.002 +0.342 +0.551 0.001 0.004 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.003 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1440 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689341813 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	8/5 8/3	+0.402 ( -0.149)
			0.629 0.083 0.006 - 0.371 0.024 0.001 +0.361 +0.402 0.001 0.002 0.001 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.003 0.003
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1440 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689341813 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	8/3 6/3	+0.303 ( -0.248)
			0.652 0.085 0.011 - 0.348 0.020 0.002 +0.408 +0.303 0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.004 0.003
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1440 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689341813 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	0	8/5 6/1	+0.268 ( -0.283)
			0.591 0.081 0.002 - 0.409 0.060 0.001
	5	0	6/3 6/1	+0.201 ( -0.350)
			0.576 0.073 0.001 - 0.424 0.066 0.001

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 4, boo 5 (match to 7 points)

Move number 5: boo to play 53

gnubg	116
boo	71
Position ID: ttsQCBjH7TMAAA Match ID: QYnuAEAAKAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	6/1 4/1	-0.049
			0.645 0.207 0.019 - 0.355 0.038 0.002 +0.290 -0.049 0.001 0.009 0.003 - 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.002 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689719047 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	8/3 6/3	-0.103 ( -0.054)
			0.627 0.261 0.031 - 0.373 0.046 0.002 +0.253 -0.103 0.001 0.009 0.004 - 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.002 0.003
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689719047 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	8/5 8/3	-0.146 ( -0.097)
			0.612 0.229 0.033 - 0.388 0.051 0.002 +0.224 -0.146 0.001 0.009 0.004 - 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.003 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689719047 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/5 6/1	-0.219 ( -0.170)
			0.587 0.064 0.001 - 0.413 0.039 0.001
	5	2	6/3 6/1	-0.289 ( -0.240)
			0.564 0.061 0.001 - 0.436 0.074 0.002

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, boo 0

Move number 5: boo to play 53

gnubg	116
boo	71
Position ID: ttsQCBjH7TMAAA Match ID: QYkOAAAAAAAA

• boo moves 6/1 4/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	6/1 4/1	+0.247
			0.657 0.048 0.000 - 0.343 0.020 0.001 +0.342 +0.247 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			6063 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689172346 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	8/3 6/3	+0.205 ( -0.042)
			0.645 0.087 0.001 - 0.355 0.020 0.001 +0.358 +0.205 0.000 0.001 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			6063 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689172346 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	8/5 8/3	+0.165 ( -0.082)
			0.632 0.076 0.001 - 0.368 0.022 0.001 +0.318 +0.165 0.000 0.001 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.002
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			6062 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 689172346 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/5 6/1	+0.065 ( -0.183)
			0.586 0.063 0.001 - 0.414 0.035 0.001
	5	2	6/3 6/1	-0.041 ( -0.289)
			0.563 0.058 0.001 - 0.437 0.072 0.002

Cubeless equities

8/3 6/3 +0.358

6/1 4/1 +0.342

8/5 8/3 + 0.318

As the plays r close the cube turns around the order of the 2 top choices around.

Messages In This Thread

• Three in one
  Marcos Nahhas -- Sunday, 19 August 2012, at 4:03 p.m.
  • Three in one
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 20 August 2012, at 2:38 a.m.
  • Three in one
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 26 August 2012, at 10:53 p.m.
    • Three in one - Rollout
      smcrtorchs -- Tuesday, 28 August 2012, at 5:19 p.m.
      • Three in one - Rollout
        Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 28 August 2012, at 6:20 p.m.
  • Three in one
    Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 26 August 2012, at 11:06 p.m.