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White has 24 rolls that cover the blot on his 4pt: any 3 or 4, plus 11 21 22. Of the 12 rolls that don’t cover, 66 makes the 1pt, 55 does the same (but requires switching off the 6pt), and 52 61 62 55 65 can all be used to hit loose on the 1pt. Alternatively, 51 and 61 can be used to make the bar. 52 is best used to run. As well, we are losing a ton of gammons. I can think of two main variations in which we turn this around. 1. White fails to cover (12/36), and we hit (say, 12/36). Overall, then, we might hit 3 times in 36. Winning from there is another story. 2. White loses the priming battle, and cracks before we do. Once again, the game must still be won in the aftermath. This is not close. We do not have enough victories to reach the super-elevated take point we must have at this score and gammon circumstance. Pass Mike | ||||||||||||||
