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BGonline.org Forums
Phipps/Hellwag game 2 cube decision
Posted By: Casper van der Tak In Response To: Phipps/Hellwag game 2 cube decision (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Sunday, 9 September 2012, at 4:45 p.m.
I roll and I with the 63 I hit and cover. Roll, because hit and cover creates a lot of gammon chances, and after high doubles and small you can try to race to a gammon. Risk is very low, because you'd either need to decide to hit and be jokered from the bar, or you'd need to roll very small followed by a 66 to lose your double out.
I remember that Tobias decided to not hit and cover, and that I thought OK, if you don't, you might as well have cashed (which probably is not quite true but close enough).
Finally, I believe that on the next roll Tobias is slightly too good; he is then 85 against 117 and after the worst exchange will be 82 against 93, which looks like a very close take decision. Given the close to zero risk, playing on must be right.
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