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Can someone explain this?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Monday, 10 September 2012, at 6:21 p.m.

In Response To: Can someone explain this? (David Rennie)

Some statistics to go with the explanations:

Play HitsCracking Numbers
6/4* 5/414 13 (54 51 33 and big swing on 63 43 42 31 which enter without hitting and expose another blot)
6/5 6/4*16 6 (33 43 22 and the only awful entering number, 63)

Also, after 6/4* 5/4, your opponent rates to win about 60% with 23% gammons (cubeless), but doesn't quite have a cube. His many more bad numbers means that your exclusive cube possession would be quite powerful in this prime vs. prime position. ND = ~0.370 EMG, DT = ~0.330 EMG.

After 6/5 6/4*, your opponent rates to win about 65% with 27% gammons (cubeless) and has an easy double. ND = ~0.650 EMG, DT = ~0.750 EMG.

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