BGonline.org Forums

BQ: Hit 1 or hit 2?

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Friday, 14 September 2012, at 10:10 p.m.

In Response To: BQ: Hit 1 or hit 2? (Stick)

I understand Stick's point about not disclosing what the GNUbg is doing. However, given the volatility of the rollout, I figured that its mention would, if anything, entice y'all to opine.

The rollout is probably going to take more horsepower than I have. It flips back and forth between the two plays. You can't see it, but the JSD of the plays is very small (I think the GNUbg folk are working on including the JSDs in the rollout printouts).

If I get anything close to a robust rollout, will post it later.

In the meantime, will appreciate seeing how you analyze the play.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0

Move number 6: Leo to play 15

gnubg	148
Leo	159
Position ID: jGfMQRBwZ/ABIg Match ID: cIkUAAAAAAAE

• Leo moves 8/7*/2*

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity		+0.106
	0.526 0.177 0.006 - 0.474 0.124 0.005
Cubeful equities:
	4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
1.	No double	+0.151
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.849
3.	Double, take	-0.113	-0.264
Proper cube action:		No double, beaver (23.7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	13/7*	+0.124
			0.531 0.185 0.007 - 0.469 0.152 0.009 +0.093 +0.124 0.003 0.004 0.001 - 0.003 0.003 0.001 0.008 0.023
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			289 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 695247858 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	8/7*/2*	+0.119 ( -0.005)
			0.515 0.194 0.007 - 0.485 0.157 0.008 +0.067 +0.119 0.003 0.004 0.001 - 0.003 0.004 0.002 0.010 0.024
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 695247858 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	3	24/23 13/8	-0.137 ( -0.262)
			0.464 0.127 0.004 - 0.536 0.153 0.005
			3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
	4	3	13/8 6/5	-0.158 ( -0.282)
			0.458 0.125 0.004 - 0.542 0.151 0.005
			3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
	5	3	13/8 5/4	-0.203 ( -0.328)
			0.452 0.130 0.005 - 0.548 0.175 0.009
			3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
	6	3	21/20 13/8	-0.218 ( -0.342)
			0.446 0.122 0.004 - 0.554 0.162 0.006
			3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
	7	3	21/15	-0.297 ( -0.421)
			0.432 0.107 0.004 - 0.568 0.178 0.006
			3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
	8	3	21/16 8/7*	-0.316 ( -0.440)
			0.433 0.130 0.005 - 0.567 0.218 0.017
			3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

Messages In This Thread

• BQ: Hit 1 or hit 2?
  leobueno -- Friday, 14 September 2012, at 9:10 p.m.
  • BQ: Hit 1 or hit 2?
    Stick -- Friday, 14 September 2012, at 9:35 p.m.
    • BQ: Hit 1 or hit 2?
      leobueno -- Friday, 14 September 2012, at 10:10 p.m.
      • XG rollout
        mtuhtan -- Saturday, 15 September 2012, at 8:25 a.m.
        • GNUbg Rollout
          leobueno -- Saturday, 15 September 2012, at 7:16 p.m.
      • BQ: Hit 1 or hit 2?
        Neil Robins -- Saturday, 15 September 2012, at 4:59 p.m.
        • BQ: Hit 1 or hit 2?
          leobueno -- Saturday, 15 September 2012, at 7:21 p.m.
  • BQ: Hit 1 or hit 2?
    trichard -- Saturday, 15 September 2012, at 8:49 p.m.