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why not cubing in both positions?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 18 September 2012, at 1:49 a.m.

In Response To: why not cubing in both positions? (Robert Andersson)

Well, not all 6's lose market, and there are other rolls that do lose market. But 6's are surely good numbers, and they're better for Blue against the ace point anchor than against the deuce point anchor, since they lead to more wins and more gammon wins against the ace point anchor. Not all market losers are equal. Some lose their market by a bigger number than others. The number of market losers alone doesn't tell the whole story.

If you'll pick some two-roll sequences which you think are market losers in both positions, and compare them, I think it will become clear that Blue has more to gain from doubling now against the ace point anchor than against the deuce point anchor. For example:

White111

 ' '2X3X2X3X3X '1O ' '2O

1X '2O2O1X3O2O2O1O ' ' '
Blue113
Position ID: 7HYHACFsbgsjAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.5894
0.7529 0.1272 0.0035 - 0.2471 0.0457 0.0015
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.0133 +0.0133
3.No double +0.7288 -0.2712
Proper cube action:Double, pass

White109

 ' '2X2X2X3X4X1O ' ' '2O

 '1X2O2O '3O2O3O1X ' ' '
Blue113
Position ID: bLsHEBBsbgdDAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.5183
0.7308 0.1035 0.0024 - 0.2692 0.0485 0.0007
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.8547
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1453
3.No double +0.7196 -0.1351
Proper cube action:Double, take

White112

 '1X2X2X2X3X3X1O ' ' '2O

1X1X2O2O '4O2O2O ' ' ' '
Blue111
Position ID: 2nYHAChs3gZDAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.6394
0.7711 0.1317 0.0035 - 0.2289 0.0375 0.0006
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.1260 +0.1260
3.No double +0.9089 -0.0911
Proper cube action:Double, pass

White110

 '1X2X2X3X2X3X1O ' ' '2O

 '2X2O2O '4O2O2O ' ' ' '
Blue111
Position ID: 2m4HABhs3gZDAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.5752
0.7681 0.0674 0.0011 - 0.2319 0.0286 0.0008
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.9926
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0074
3.No double +0.9222 -0.0704
Proper cube action:Double, take

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