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win probability for a PR difference and match length

Posted By: Joe Russell
Date: Thursday, 20 September 2012, at 11:59 p.m.

In Response To: win probability for a PR difference and match length (Rick Janowski)

'If we know the odds A beating B are "x" to 1 and we know the odds of B beating C are "y" to 1 then the odds of A beating C will be the product "xy" to 1.'

I am not sure I understand what you are saying. Are you saying if A is 5 to 1 to beat B and B is 2 to 1 to beat C, then A's chances are (5*2= 10) to 1 to beat C. I would have though C's chances would ~1/6*1/3

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