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Squint 120922

Posted By: Svilo
Date: Monday, 24 September 2012, at 3:32 p.m.

In Response To: Squint 120922 (Svilo)





White is XG Roller

score: 3
pip: 138
5 point match
pip: 162
score: 2

Blue is svilo
XGID=---B-ABABb--bD-b-d-dBa--A-:0:0:1:22:2:3:0:5:10
Blue to play 22

1.XG Roller++13/11 8/4 7/5eq: -0.043
Player:
Opponent:		44.23% (G:12.36% B:0.28%)
55.77% (G:10.18% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++20/18(2) 13/11 7/5eq: -0.063 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		44.42% (G:10.85% B:0.25%)
55.58% (G:12.17% B:0.44%)
3.XG Roller++13/11(2) 8/6 7/5eq: -0.063 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		43.72% (G:11.58% B:0.23%)
56.28% (G:9.13% B:0.33%)
4.XG Roller++20/18(2) 8/6 7/5eq: -0.091 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		43.78% (G:10.39% B:0.20%)
56.22% (G:11.41% B:0.36%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 8/6(2) 7/5eq: -0.102 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		42.77% (G:11.24% B:0.23%)
57.23% (G:9.18% B:0.31%)

Importance of playing with a pipcount in your head.

I cover the 5 sure.
Here it is clear I am -3-0 men back so I must preserve contact and increase pressure. Therefore� � the safe 20/18 (2) is to be abandoned for the� � contructive 8/4. With only one duck remaining,� � the 13/11 was a surprise to me.

I envy those players who can count quick and still more those who keep a running count in their head. I guess at +16 after the play� � one would choose a bolder play than at +8 for instance. And those duplications, number of shots, etc.� � Brrr, I am getting� � squint!

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Anybody knows when Precisely is the 20/18(2) indicated and when 8/4? And when 13/11? Stick, I offer this position for inclusion in your quizzes.





White is XG Roller

score: 3
pip: 153
5 point match
pip: 162
score: 2

Blue is svilo
XGID=---B-ABABc--cD-b-c-cBa--A-:0:0:1:22:2:3:0:5:10
Blue to play 22

1.XG Roller++20/18(2) 8/6 7/5eq: +0.077
Player:
Opponent:		48.17% (G:10.05% B:0.16%)
51.83% (G:7.37% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++20/18(2) 13/11 7/5eq: +0.054 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		47.44% (G:10.43% B:0.18%)
52.56% (G:8.34% B:0.33%)
3.XG Roller++20/18(2) 8/4eq: +0.024 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		47.09% (G:9.57% B:0.17%)
52.91% (G:8.07% B:0.39%)
4.XG Roller++20/18(2) 13/11(2)eq: +0.021 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		47.04% (G:9.31% B:0.18%)
52.96% (G:7.84% B:0.37%)
5.3-ply8/6 8/4 7/5eq: -0.018 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		45.54% (G:10.61% B:0.19%)
54.46% (G:5.91% B:0.17%)

See what happens when he is  15 pips back compared to  the original position. Now 29/18(2) is part of the 4 favorite candidates.

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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