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BGonline.org Forums
Backgammon and psychology
Posted By: Henrik Bukkjaer In Response To: Backgammon and psychology (Bob Koca)
Date: Tuesday, 25 September 2012, at 6:41 a.m.
Yes, indeed. That was also one of the reasons why I wanted Stick to elaborate on his thoughts.
It's always a tradeoff when you "play the opponent", no matter how strong that opponent is. Big mistakes with a low frequency or minor mistakes with a higher frequency.
I personally think Stick's idea here is flawed. For some position types I agree, you'd want the cube to be taken. But for the majority of positions, when playing an inferior opponent, one should be happy if you can squeeze a drop out of a position that is a take, put a point on the scoresheet, and set up the checkers for a new game. That way, you get more play in the match (eg. more advantage for you), at a low risk (variance), and in positions where the opponent is even more prone to err (with the cube in the center).
BTW: The same kind of trade-off exists if you delay your cube at post-Crawford play, to offer your opponent a tough double, instead of an automatic take. How deep are you prepared to go? Risk of own missed doubles when you suddenly joker, vs. chance of opponent err.
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