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I'm still botching holding-game cubes

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 27 September 2012, at 2:05 p.m.

In Response To: I'm still botching holding-game cubes (Timothy Chow)

I redoubled here, and don't feel too bad about doing so despite the bot verdict. It seems that Blue's straggler is a little too far back for a technically correct redouble.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 105
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 92
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABCabBBBB--------Abbbcba-:1:1:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 70.98% (G: 5.98% B: 0.14%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.02% (G: 3.75% B: 0.05%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.05% (G: 5.94% B: 0.13%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.95% (G: 3.25% B: 0.03%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.443
Redouble:+0.898
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.770
Redouble/Take:+0.734 (-0.036)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.230)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.010 (+0.760...+0.780)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.014 (+0.720...+0.747)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 13 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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