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Turning around the game

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 29 September 2012, at 2:41 a.m.

In Response To: Turning around the game (Timothy Chow)

21/16 and 14/8, for the greatly increased chance to make a 6 prime, a big plus because after 8/2 7/2 you're unlikely to make the bar point and you will need about 8 rolls to bring the other 5 checkers home. The risk is only 4 shots, half of which aren't a full swing since after 8/2 7/2 1-6 play bar/18 and is not favored to be hit. After 21/16 14/8, you have 17 covers for the 8 point, a 32/36*17/36 = 42% chance next roll, plus 6-6 for the 2 point, plus 1-3 1-4 1-5 1-6 to shift to the 7 point (plus most of the rest to attack the 2 point if White enters there).

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