BGonline.org Forums

OLM Su 09/30/12

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 1 October 2012, at 7:33 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Su 09/30/12 (Jason Lee)

–

White is XG Roller++ score: 3 pip: 122 15 point match pip: 115 score: 7 Blue is BGO Readers XGID=---bCBCC----bBB--a-cbbba--:1:-1:1:43:7:3:0:15:10 Blue to play 43 The only question here is which safe play to choose. The two candidates are A = Attack (7/4 6/2) and I = Inside (6/2 4/1). To see how these play, I tried each, and then gave White a roll of 62 in the diagrams below.

Diagram 1: Blue played A = Attack (7/4 6/2), followed by White’s A (Attack) = 8/2, 6/4.

Diagram 2: Blue played I = Inside (6/2 4/1), followed by White’s A (Attack) = 8/2, 6/4.

Possible Plays in Diagrams 1 and 2
(Legend: Safe, Direct shot, Indirect shot(s), Break inside)

Roll	Diagram 1	Diagram 2
66	14/8(2) 13/7(2)	14/8(2) 13/7(2)
65	7/2 7/1	13/8 13/7 11 shots
64	13/9 13/7 13 shots	13/9 13/7 13 shots
63	13/10 13/7 4 shots	13/10 13/7 4 shots
62	13/11 13/7 4 shots	13/11 13/7 4 shots
61	7/6 7/1	7/1 2/1
55	14/9(2) 13/8(2)	14/9(2) 13/8(2)
54	14/5 13 shots	6/2 6/1
53	7/4 7/2	14/6 13 shots
52	7/5 7/2	6/4 6/1
51	7/6 7/2	7/1
44	14/10(2) 13/9(2)	14/10(2) 13/9(2)
43	14/11 14/10 8 shots	5/2 5/1
42	6/4 6/2	7/1
41	14/13 14/10 4 shots	7/2
33	14/11(2) 13/10(2)	14/8(2)
32	4/2 4/1	7/2
31	4/1 2/1	7/4 2/1
22	13/9(2)	13/9(2)
21	4/1	7/5 2/1
11	14/13(2) 7/6(2)	14/13(2) 7/6 2/1

In exchange for 1 extra shot, I = Inside (6/2 4/1) allows Blue to hold the bar point for another turn. If Blue plays A = Attack (7/3 6/2), safe play will require giving up the bar point in 10 out of 36 rolls on the next turn. One danger not disclosed by the table above is that White will find it easier to run off his anchor when Blue leaves two blots in his home board. This must be close, but I’ll opt for I. I = Inside (6/2 4/1) Mike

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Su 09/30/12
  Jason Lee -- Sunday, 30 September 2012, at 2:54 p.m.
  • OLM Su 09/30/12
    Stick -- Sunday, 30 September 2012, at 2:57 p.m.
  • OLM Su 09/30/12
    Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 30 September 2012, at 3:46 p.m.
  • OLM Su 09/30/12
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 30 September 2012, at 3:47 p.m.
  • OLM Su 09/30/12
    Stuart Katz -- Sunday, 30 September 2012, at 3:49 p.m.
  • OLM Su 09/30/12
    David Rennie -- Sunday, 30 September 2012, at 6:37 p.m.
  • OLM Su 09/30/12
    Taper_Mike -- Monday, 1 October 2012, at 7:33 a.m.
    • OLM Su 09/30/12
      mtuhtan -- Monday, 1 October 2012, at 7:52 a.m.
      • OLM Su 09/30/12
        Taper_Mike -- Monday, 1 October 2012, at 9:06 a.m.
  • OLM Su 09/30/12
    Havard Raddum -- Monday, 1 October 2012, at 7:44 a.m.
  • OLM Su 09/30/12
    neilkaz -- Monday, 1 October 2012, at 3:06 p.m.
  • OLM Su 09/30/12 ROLLOUT
    Jason Lee -- Sunday, 14 October 2012, at 1:08 a.m.