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Rollout

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Tuesday, 2 October 2012, at 4:54 p.m.

In Response To: Two on the bar - cube action? (mtuhtan)

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 161 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 176 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=b--B-BB---AacC---cCdb-AA--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 62,20% (G:24,33% B:1,59%) 62,43% (G:24,69% B:1,57%) Opponent Winning Chances: 37,80% (G:11,21% B:0,56%) 37,57% (G:11,10% B:0,54%) Cubeless Equities +0,386 +0,789 Cubeful Equities No double: +0,568 ±0,013 (+0,555..+0,582) Double/Take: +0,499 (-0,070) ±0,016 (+0,483..+0,515) Double/Pass: +1,000 (+0,432) Best Cube action: No double / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12,2% Rollout details 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Double Decision confidence: 100,0% Take Decision confidence: 100,0% Duration: 10 minutes 54 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

OTB cube action was double and pass.

I still think it is a good practical double because of (many) possible wrong passes. Two on the bar plus third blot prepared to be hit looks scary.

I've played from position couple of times - even if the blot is hit, there's a lot of play left and many opportunities for white to turn the game around. td colspan=

Messages In This Thread

• Two on the bar - cube action?
  mtuhtan -- Sunday, 30 September 2012, at 8:11 p.m.
  • Two on the bar - cube action?
    Stick -- Sunday, 30 September 2012, at 9:19 p.m.
    • Two on the bar - cube action?
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 30 September 2012, at 11:47 p.m.
  • Rollout
    mtuhtan -- Tuesday, 2 October 2012, at 4:54 p.m.
    • Rollout
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 2 October 2012, at 5:23 p.m.
      • Rollout
        storm -- Tuesday, 2 October 2012, at 6:48 p.m.