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Rollout: Finally got the shot and hit it!!

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 2 October 2012, at 10:28 p.m.

In Response To: Finally got the shot and hit it!! (Timothy Chow)

I think Daniel's analysis is correct: The key is the big swing on 44 and 11, which play much better for White after 24/20*/15.

Not sure where Neil has "seen" this position since it arose in one of my own games?





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 19
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 136
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABBACB-------------abbBB-:1:1:1:54:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout124/20* 23/18eq: +0.169
Player:
Opponent:		 57.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
42.83% (G:18.80% B:8.13%)		Conf: ± 0.014 (+0.155...+0.183)
Duration: 16 hours 25 minutes
2.Rollout124/20* 20/15eq: +0.128 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		 56.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.67% (G:19.57% B:9.14%)		Conf: ± 0.014 (+0.114...+0.142)
Duration: 12 hours 54 minutes
3.Rollout224/19 24/20* eq: +0.094 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		 55.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.82% (G:20.73% B:7.70%)		Conf: ± 0.021 (+0.073...+0.115)
Duration: 7 hours 42 minutes
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 4 moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 1754 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 4 moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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