OtB i had no clue about the gammon rates. Finally, i asked myself: what would you play at DMP? Blitzing is often wrong at DMP. And here, with only 10 men in the zone and time consuming reinforcement, i was sure, that making the bar couldn't be wrong by much. So with gammons fully paid, cubed his gammons away, i decided to make the pure play, despite the shots.

              
 
              
 | | White is mamabear
score: 0 pip: 91 | | 1 point match | pip: 142 score: 0
Blue is higonefive | |
| XGID=-aB-BBCA----b--A--BbbcBbc-:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 65 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 18/7 | eq: +0,091 |
| Player: Opponent: | 54,55% (G:8,65% B:0,54%) 45,45% (G:28,13% B:1,03%) | Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,088...+0,094) - [100,0%] Duration: 24 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 7/1* 6/1 | eq: +0,079 (-0,012) |
| Player: Opponent: | 53,97% (G:7,77% B:0,09%) 46,03% (G:16,52% B:0,39%) | Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,077...+0,082) - [0,0%] Duration: 17 minutes 17 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

              
 
              
 | | White is mamabear
score: 5 pip: 91 | | 7 point match | pip: 142 score: 2
Blue is higonefive | |
| XGID=-aB-BBCA----b--A--BbbcBbc-:1:-1:1:65:2:5:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 65 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 18/7 | eq: +0,262 (+0,048) |
| Player: Opponent: | 53,61% (G:13,11% B:0,54%) 46,39% (G:28,97% B:1,10%) | Conf.: ± 0,004 (+0,258...+0,266) - [100,0%] Duration: 22 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout2 | 7/1* 6/1 | eq: +0,214 |
| Player: Opponent: | 53,07% (G:10,78% B:0,23%) 46,93% (G:17,76% B:0,45%) | Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,209...+0,219) - [0,0%] Duration: 7 minutes 51 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2