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BGonline.org Forums
What an annoying roll!
Posted By: Smcrtorchs In Response To: What an annoying roll! (Timothy Chow)
Date: Saturday, 20 October 2012, at 10:28 p.m.
How about trying to shift opponents attention from the roll and propose him to exchange sides. It looks close to 50/50 to me prior this roll. Highlight and point with your fingers that only he has cube access, and all the gaps that white has. Most importantly, try to cover at least 1 die all the time with your fingers as you point the aforementioned ones. If opponent accepts, then enjoy as he tries not to blunder, curses, and swears out loud that he will never accept whatever you might propose to him again. That should be worth at least 0.1 equity. If that fails...
... 18/13 4/3. In the next rolls white will probably slot some points that will allow him to bring his men home. Therefore, blue wants to minimize the mess in his board. If blue plays 2/1 or 6/5, then white can slot points he wants freely. So this leaves only 3/2 and 4/3 as possible candidates for the ace. I still believe white might slot points, but certainly not without a price. 3/2 feels more intuitive to me as it hampers less blue's board. I feel like white will fear more blue's board after 3/2 rather than after 4/3. However a close examination of rolls, indicates that white will probably play the same way no matter if blue plays 3/2 or 4/3. After 4/3, blue can cover the spare on the 4 with more numbers from the 13th point than after 3/2. Moreover, the game will be long and you never know when the spare on the 3 will prove handy. Later on the game, it can allow blue to play a 2 instead of breaking an anchor, for example.
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