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DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play? * * RO * *

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 21 October 2012, at 4:04 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play? * * RO * * (leobueno)

White	92
Blue	100
Position ID: 29ngAAibmZkGAA Match ID: cAkTAAAAAAAE

Compare the "cubeless" game results that Leo's cubeful rollout reports, with the actual cubeful game results in 10,000 trial rollouts in which Gnubg keeps track of the actual result and cube level of every trial:

Game results according to the "cubeless" rollout numbers
	Win	WS	WG	WBG	Lose	LS	LG	LBG
13/3*	57.8%	52.0%	05.7%	00.1%	42.2%	26.9%	15.0%	00.3%
10/6 10/4	55.1%	52.3%	02.8%	00.0%	44.9%	39.8%	05.0%	00.1%
12/2	53.7%	52.1%	01.6%	00.0%	46.3%	41.7%	04.4%	00.1%
Game results according to what really happens cubeful
	Win	WS	WG	WBG	Lose	LS	LG	LBG
13/3*	66.9%	65.8%	01.2%	00.0%	33.1%	20.5%	12.3%	00.2%
10/6 10/4	57.4%	56.8%	00.7%	00.0%	42.6%	39.3%	03.2%	00.1%
12/2	54.5%	53.7%	00.8%	00.0%	45.5%	43.1%	02.3%	00.0%

More details:

13/3*

Cube	Win	WS	WG	WBG	LS	LG	LBG
1	55.81%	55.33%	00.48%	00.00%	13.14%	10.63%	00.19%
2	09.66%	09.05%	00.61%	00.00%	06.38%	01.69%	00.02%
4	01.37%	01.31%	00.06%	00.00%	00.88%	00.02%	00.00%
8	00.08%	00.08%	00.00%	00.00%	00.12%	00.00%	00.00%
16	00.00%	00.00%	00.00%	00.00%	00.01%	00.00%	00.00%
Total	66.92%	65.77%	01.15%	00.00%	20.53%	12.34%	00.21%

10/6 10/4

Cube	Win	WS	WG	WBG	LS	LG	LBG
1	35.03%	34.83%	00.20%	00.00%	23.19%	2.49%	00.01%
2	20.57%	20.14%	00.43%	00.00%	14.03%	00.72%	00.00%
4	01.65%	01.61%	00.04%	00.00%	02.03%	00.02%	00.00%
8	00.16%	00.16%	00.00%	00.00%	00.07%	00.00%	00.00%
16	00.01%	00.01%	00.00%	00.00%	00.02%	00.00%	00.00%
Total	57.42%	56.75%	00.67%	00.00%	39.34%	03.23%	00.01%

12/2

Cube	Win	WS	WG	WBG	LS	LG	LBG
1	26.68%	26.23%	00.43%	00.02%	22.61%	01.88%	00.01%
2	25.41%	25.08%	00.33%	00.00%	17.89%	00.41%	00.02%
4	02.19%	02.18%	00.01%	00.00%	02.44%	00.03%	00.00%
8	00.21%	00.20%	00.01%	00.00%	00.18%	00.00%	00.00%
16	00.02%	00.02%	00.00%	00.00%	00.02%	00.00%	00.00%
Total	54.51%	53.71%	00.78%	00.02%	43.14%	02.32%	00.03%

Messages In This Thread

• DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
  leobueno -- Wednesday, 10 October 2012, at 7:52 p.m.
  • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 11 October 2012, at 1:36 a.m.
    • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
      John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 11 October 2012, at 3:09 p.m.
      • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
        Stick -- Friday, 12 October 2012, at 1:54 a.m.
  • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 11 October 2012, at 1:38 p.m.
    • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
      Michael Nielsen -- Thursday, 11 October 2012, at 2:11 p.m.
      • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
        Wolf -- Friday, 12 October 2012, at 8:56 p.m.
    • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
      Stick -- Friday, 12 October 2012, at 1:53 a.m.
  • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
    Stick -- Friday, 12 October 2012, at 1:48 a.m.
    • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play?
      Peter -- Friday, 12 October 2012, at 5:56 a.m.
  • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play? * * RO * *
    leobueno -- Friday, 19 October 2012, at 11:42 a.m.
    • DQ: really bold play v. safe and boring play? * * RO * *
      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 21 October 2012, at 4:04 p.m.