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Rollout: What an annoying roll!

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 21 October 2012, at 11:03 p.m.

In Response To: What an annoying roll! (Timothy Chow)

I found 6/5, but I hate giving up the back checker when this far behind in the race, so I played 18/13. Evidently this is too much risk, and even at DMP it's not best. Judging from the pseudocubeless numbers, 13/7 is the DMP play, but it loses too many gammons.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 123 Money session pip: 157 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBB-B-----dBb--bAdC-cA--:1:-1:1:51:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.	Rollout1	23/18 6/5	eq: -0.606
	Player: Opponent: 34.81% (G:5.95% B:0.17%) 65.19% (G:9.05% B:0.21%) Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.620...-0.592) Duration: 3 hours 50 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/7	eq: -0.678 (-0.073)
	Player: Opponent: 35.38% (G:8.57% B:0.26%) 64.62% (G:20.53% B:0.83%) Conf: ± 0.018 (-0.696...-0.660) Duration: 2 hours 55 minutes
3.	Rollout1	23/18 2/1	eq: -0.689 (-0.084)
	Player: Opponent: 32.37% (G:5.24% B:0.11%) 67.63% (G:10.34% B:0.30%) Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.703...-0.675) Duration: 3 hours 28 minutes
4.	Rollout1	18/13 6/5	eq: -0.713 (-0.107)
	Player: Opponent: 33.27% (G:7.51% B:0.21%) 66.73% (G:15.18% B:0.59%) Conf: ± 0.015 (-0.728...-0.698) Duration: 3 hours 08 minutes
5.	Rollout1	23/18 3/2	eq: -0.745 (-0.139)
	Player: Opponent: 31.21% (G:5.00% B:0.10%) 68.79% (G:11.81% B:0.34%) Conf: ± 0.015 (-0.760...-0.730) Duration: 1 hour 36 minutes
6.	Rollout1	23/18 4/3	eq: -0.750 (-0.144)
	Player: Opponent: 31.08% (G:4.71% B:0.10%) 68.92% (G:11.14% B:0.31%) Conf: ± 0.013 (-0.763...-0.737) Duration: 1 hour 42 minutes
7.	Rollout1	18/13 2/1	eq: -0.759 (-0.153)
	Player: Opponent: 31.33% (G:6.95% B:0.12%) 68.67% (G:14.83% B:0.43%) Conf: ± 0.016 (-0.775...-0.743) Duration: 1 hour 33 minutes
8.	Rollout1	18/13 4/3	eq: -0.806 (-0.200)
	Player: Opponent: 29.71% (G:5.69% B:0.14%) 70.29% (G:14.42% B:0.49%) Conf: ± 0.015 (-0.821...-0.791) Duration: 1 hour 25 minutes
9.	Rollout1	18/13 3/2	eq: -0.807 (-0.201)
	Player: Opponent: 29.60% (G:5.84% B:0.15%) 70.40% (G:14.26% B:0.42%) Conf: ± 0.017 (-0.824...-0.790) Duration: 1 hour 21 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• What an annoying roll!
  Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 20 October 2012, at 6:09 p.m.
  • What an annoying roll!
    David Rennie -- Saturday, 20 October 2012, at 8:55 p.m.
  • What an annoying roll!
    Smcrtorchs -- Saturday, 20 October 2012, at 10:28 p.m.
    • What an annoying roll!
      Mr Majestyk -- Sunday, 21 October 2012, at 11:29 a.m.
  • What an annoying roll!
    Konstantin -- Sunday, 21 October 2012, at 4:32 p.m.
  • What an annoying roll!
    higonefive -- Sunday, 21 October 2012, at 5:08 p.m.
  • What an annoying roll!
    Caryl Stephanson -- Sunday, 21 October 2012, at 5:50 p.m.
  • What an annoying roll!
    christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 21 October 2012, at 7:16 p.m.
  • Rollout: What an annoying roll!
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 21 October 2012, at 11:03 p.m.