[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Question on combining ?

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 18 November 2007, at 4:18 p.m.

In Response To: 21slot/ 11 and 21slot/31 (bob koca)

Wouldn't you combine them as follows ? The long rollout is 12 times longer than the short rollout so the short rollout should be weighted as 1/13 and the long rollout weighted 12/13.

ie..assume we play 12 games and break even ..our equity is 0.000 and then we play 1 game and win it for an equity of +1.000.

12/13 x 0.000 + 1/13 x 1.000 = 1/13 off course which is exactly the same as our equity if we played all 13 games in a row and won 1 pt.

So I don't see where std dev matters here when combining rollouts, but I think your math background may be superior to mine, or certainly more current.

.. neilkaz ..

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.