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BGonline.org Forums
Question on combining ?
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: 21slot/ 11 and 21slot/31 (bob koca)
Date: Sunday, 18 November 2007, at 4:18 p.m.
Wouldn't you combine them as follows ? The long rollout is 12 times longer than the short rollout so the short rollout should be weighted as 1/13 and the long rollout weighted 12/13.
ie..assume we play 12 games and break even ..our equity is 0.000 and then we play 1 game and win it for an equity of +1.000.
12/13 x 0.000 + 1/13 x 1.000 = 1/13 off course which is exactly the same as our equity if we played all 13 games in a row and won 1 pt.
So I don't see where std dev matters here when combining rollouts, but I think your math background may be superior to mine, or certainly more current.
.. neilkaz ..
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