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6-3 to play. Is this easy?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 24 October 2012, at 10:34 a.m.

In Response To: 6-3 to play. Is this easy? (Stick)

There's only one play that both minimizes opponent's good numbers and makes your good follow-up more likely: 13/7 13/10. Opponent must roll a 4 -- eleven good numbers. If he doesn't, you either make the 7 point (completing a 6 prime), or point on the 3 point, or make the 7 point (making a 5 prime) and hit on the 3 point. Your only numbers that don't do one of those things are 4-4 and 4-2, both of which at least give you a better position than if you make the alternate play. That play, 9/3* 8/5, gives opponent 14 good numbers, plus 1-6 and 2-5 to come to the bar, plus any other one or two to enter, after which you'll have your hands full trying to simultaneously make the 3 point and the bar point (you'll have a similar but lesser challenge if opponent simply fans).

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