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BGonline.org Forums
Pay now! Pay How??
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Pay now! Pay How?? (Taper_Mike)
Date: Thursday, 25 October 2012, at 12:37 a.m.
If you leave a double shot now, you'll get hit a little over 20 times (20 on oppt's next shake plus you might roll 33 or 22 next). If a single shot now, 11 times right away plus a whole lotta double jeopardy. I count 10 that leave a single shot and 10 more that leave a double shot. That looks like about an addl 5.5 hits after one of those 25 non-hitters for a total of 16.5 hits. Certainly a lot fewer but about 3.5 of those occur when you have left 2 blots so those are really bad for you. OTOH, not getting hit 3.5 more times is even better for you so I vote for fewest shots: 5/1 3/1.
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