[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

2a-7a cube action?

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Saturday, 27 October 2012, at 2:03 p.m.

In Response To: 2a-7a cube action? (John O'Hagan)

I count 25 shakes that point on white's head (any roll that doesn't contain a 6). Except for the return fly shots from the bar, these all look like market losers.

A crude approximation of white's winning chances is black must roll a 6 followed by white rolling a 6. That's about 9 percent. Add in a couple of percent for the fly shots and other unusual ways for white to win and I see about 13 to 15% GWC for white.

What's the takepoint?
Pass -> 7a Crawford -> 9% MWC
Take win -> 3a 2a -> 40% MWC
Take lose -> match over -> 0% MWC
R/R+G = 9/40 which is a biscuit under 25%

Seems like a cash to me since gammons look pretty scarce.

D/P

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.