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2a-7a cube action?

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Sunday, 28 October 2012, at 4:17 a.m.

In Response To: 2a-7a cube action? (John O'Hagan)

Trailer's gammonless takepoint is ~23% less 150% of his slim gammon chances. I estimated 2% g's here which lowers the takepoint to 20%. I took this but it's a pass even ATS.

is Player 2

score: 11
pip: 94
13 point match
pip: 69
score: 6

is Player 1
XGID=-DBBBBA---A-----bbcccAb---:0:0:-1:00:6:11:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 80.43% (G:5.61% B:0.19%) 81.48% (G:5.09% B:0.07%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.57% (G:3.15% B:0.03%) 18.52% (G:2.32% B:0.03%)
Cubeless Equities +0.672 +1.776
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.783 (-0.217)±0.004 (+0.779..+0.787)
Double/Take:+1.087 (+0.087)±0.011 (+1.075..+1.098)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 38 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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