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Magriel 14-4 Page 193 (RO after cube)

Posted By: Philippe Michel
Date: Sunday, 4 November 2012, at 12:07 p.m.

In Response To: Magriel 14-4 Page 193 (leobueno)

The alert hints that Blue should have doubled.

That doesn't necessarily means that the position as shown is impossible or uninteresting, but still, this is a common and well known situation. If you are Blue here, you really want to have doubled.

Moreover, it hints that there are market losing sequences. Here, after 11/4 and a miss, Blue loses his market by a huge margin if he hasn't already doubled while 8/2 8/7 and miss is still a double/take.

As a consequence, 11/4 will look relatively worse in the hypothetical position (centered cube) than it would in the practical one. This could be misleading if you study only the former.

The score (after 0 games) is: GNUbg 0, You 0

Move number 5: You to play 16

GNUbg126

 ' '2X2X2X2X2X2X ' ' ' '

2O2O2O2O3X3O '2O ' '2O '
You76
Position ID: bNsGgAPb5owBAA Match ID: QQkHAAAAAAAE

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 11/4 -0.089
0.5050.0220.000-0.4950.0560.002 -0.026 -0.089
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.001
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 3560040891 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 8/7 8/2 -0.112 ( -0.023)
0.5050.0230.000-0.4950.0660.002 -0.036 -0.112
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 3560040891 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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