| |
BGonline.org Forums
Magriel 14-4 Page 193 (RO after cube)
Posted By: Philippe Michel In Response To: Magriel 14-4 Page 193 (leobueno)
Date: Sunday, 4 November 2012, at 12:07 p.m.
The alert hints that Blue should have doubled.
That doesn't necessarily means that the position as shown is impossible or uninteresting, but still, this is a common and well known situation. If you are Blue here, you really want to have doubled.
Moreover, it hints that there are market losing sequences. Here, after 11/4 and a miss, Blue loses his market by a huge margin if he hasn't already doubled while 8/2 8/7 and miss is still a double/take.
As a consequence, 11/4 will look relatively worse in the hypothetical position (centered cube) than it would in the practical one. This could be misleading if you study only the former.
The score (after 0 games) is: GNUbg 0, You 0
Move number 5: You to play 16
GNUbg 126
You 76 Position ID: bNsGgAPb5owBAA Match ID: QQkHAAAAAAAE
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 11/4 -0.089
0.505 0.022 0.000 - 0.495 0.056 0.002 -0.026 -0.089 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.001 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 3560040891 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 8/7 8/2 -0.112 ( -0.023)
0.505 0.023 0.000 - 0.495 0.066 0.002 -0.036 -0.112 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.003 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 3560040891 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
| |
BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.