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Rollout: Naked ace point?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 7 November 2012, at 7:59 p.m.

In Response To: Naked ace point? (Timothy Chow)

I was surprised that the difference between 13/8(2) 6/1*(2) and 13/8 11/1* 6/1 came out so large in the rollout. Cube location doesn't seem to matter much here.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--a-EBB--AdD---c-cc---A-:0:0:1:55:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 55

1.Rollout113/8 11/1* 6/1eq: +0.272
Player:
Opponent:
55.97% (G:16.99% B:0.41%)
44.03% (G:9.71% B:0.38%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.262...+0.282)
Duration: 10 hours 45 minutes
2.Rollout18/3(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.222 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
53.90% (G:20.28% B:0.40%)
46.10% (G:11.42% B:0.52%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.212...+0.232)
Duration: 10 hours 20 minutes
3.Rollout213/8(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.209 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:
54.21% (G:17.58% B:0.43%)
45.79% (G:10.50% B:0.48%)
Conf: ± 0.013 (+0.196...+0.222)
Duration: 7 hours 02 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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