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-3-4 cube action - XG 4-ply RO

Posted By: poseidon
Date: Thursday, 8 November 2012, at 8:30 a.m.

In Response To: -3-4 cube action (Dmitriy Obukhov)

I am posting an XG rollout I performed last night:

It took me 10 hours as I was doing an GNU Rollout as well.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 197
7 point match
pip: 140
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ac--B-D-C--BdC---c-d---A--:0:0:1:00:4:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.64% (G:35.36% B:7.80%) 66.48% (G:35.88% B:14.62%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.36% (G:4.29% B:0.36%) 33.52% (G:4.45% B:0.38%)
Cubeless Equities +1.078 +1.660
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.856±0.019 (+0.837..+0.874)
Double/Take:+0.692 (-0.163)±0.031 (+0.661..+0.723)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.144)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 34.7%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 10 hours 42 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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