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-3-4 cube action - XG 4-ply RO here's mine

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 8 November 2012, at 4:34 p.m.

In Response To: -3-4 cube action - XG 4-ply RO (poseidon)

I cut this RO short since it agrees.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 197
7 point match
pip: 141
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ac--B-D-C--BdC---c-d----A-:0:0:1:00:4:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.643% (G:35.313% B:7.364%) 66.343% (G:37.365% B:16.090%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.357% (G:4.729% B:0.433%) 33.657% (G:4.680% B:0.426%)
Cubeless Equities +1.0612 +1.6757
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8712±0.0145 (+0.8567..+0.8858)
Double/Take:+0.6820 (-0.1892)±0.0224 (+0.6597..+0.7044)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.1288)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 37.3%
Rollout details
2401 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 19 hours 41 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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