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RO 3a6a

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Saturday, 10 November 2012, at 2:50 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: How about a -3 -5 cube action? (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 122
7 point match
pip: 119
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aA-BB-CaB--BbB----cbbbA-b-:0:0:1:00:4:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69,58% (G:39,07% B:1,04%) 70,16% (G:36,80% B:1,25%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30,42% (G:11,16% B:0,69%) 29,84% (G:10,83% B:0,81%)
Cubeless Equities +0,741 +1,177
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,707±0,010 (+0,697..+0,717)
Double/Take:+0,635 (-0,072)±0,022 (+0,612..+0,657)
Double/Pass:+1,000 (+0,293)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16,5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 12 minutes 35 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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