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OTB and RO

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 11 November 2012, at 9:39 p.m.

In Response To: OTB and RO (John O'Hagan)

Given side-on-roll's position, here's about how much White has to improve for a marginal money game take/pass with all points occupied including two checkers on the 6 point:

White	43
Blue	30
Position ID: 720NAADv7wEAAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAE

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.563553
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000000
2.	Double, take	+1.002243	+0.002243
3.	No double	+0.849763	-0.150237
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.781777 0.000000 0.000000 - 0.218223 0.000000 0.000000 +0.563554 +0.849763 Standard error 0.000011 0.000000 0.000000 - 0.000011 0.000000 0.000000 0.000021 0.001058 Player White owns 2-cube 0.781594 0.000000 0.000000 - 0.218406 0.000000 0.000000 +1.126377 +1.002243 Standard error 0.000017 0.000000 0.000000 - 0.000017 0.000000 0.000000 0.000070 0.001493
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 696539458 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action ATS?
  John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 10 November 2012, at 4:05 p.m.
  • Cube action ATS?
    Stick -- Saturday, 10 November 2012, at 7:06 p.m.
  • OTB and RO
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 11 November 2012, at 4:45 p.m.
    • OTB and RO
      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 11 November 2012, at 9:39 p.m.
    • OTB and RO
      Mr Majestyk -- Monday, 12 November 2012, at 1:07 a.m.
      • OTB and RO
        Stick -- Monday, 12 November 2012, at 3:45 a.m.
      • OTB and RO
        John O'Hagan -- Monday, 12 November 2012, at 2:10 p.m.
        • OTB and RO
          Mr Majestyk -- Monday, 12 November 2012, at 3:42 p.m.
          • OTB and RO
            John O'Hagan -- Monday, 12 November 2012, at 5:47 p.m.
    • OTB and RO
      neilkaz -- Monday, 12 November 2012, at 4:52 a.m.