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DQ: The 4 is clear, but the 2? *** RO ***

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Wednesday, 14 November 2012, at 12:02 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: The 4 is clear, but the 2? (leobueno)

JSDs > 3.3 (taking too long to get to 4, my usual stopping value).

The score (after 0 games) is: GNUbg 3, leobueno 2 (match to 5 points)

Move number 3: leobueno to play 24

GNUbg187

1O2O2X2O2X2X1X ' ' ' ' '

2X '2X3O2O2O2O2X ' '1O2X
leobueno171
Position ID: zBYYBjO4bQjALA Match ID: cAmxADAAEAAE

• leobueno moves 23/21 11/7

Alert: missed double ( -0.111)!

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.454(Money: +0.385)
58.9 29.4 3.6 - 41.1 11.6 0.6
Cubeful equities:
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
1.Double, take +0.947
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.053
3.No double +0.836 -0.111
Proper cube action:Double, take

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 23/21 11/7 +0.728
57.2 24.1 7.1- 42.8 16.3 3.0 +0.349 +0.728
0.2 0.2 0.3- 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.005 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3616 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 23/17 +0.663 ( -0.065)
55.8 24.2 8.8- 44.2 20.2 5.2 +0.289 +0.663
0.2 0.2 0.4- 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.006 0.016
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3610 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 11/5 +0.555 ( -0.173)
53.8 23.4 6.5- 46.2 18.4 4.0 +0.233 +0.555
0.4 0.4 0.6- 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.014 0.029
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
892 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 21/15 +0.489 ( -0.240)
52.7 23.0 7.8- 47.3 20.7 7.8 +0.163 +0.489
0.6 0.5 0.8- 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.022 0.041
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
405 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 4 11/7 4/2 +0.564 ( -0.165)
54.9 23.8 2.2 - 45.1 16.4 0.9
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
6 4 21/17 11/9 +0.401 ( -0.328)
51.3 23.4 2.5 - 48.7 21.6 2.2
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
7 4 21/17 4/2 +0.215 ( -0.513)
48.9 20.3 2.0 - 51.1 24.7 2.9
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
8 4 6/2 4/2 -0.218 ( -0.947)
40.7 16.0 1.3 - 59.3 27.0 2.3
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]

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