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DQ: Run from the anchor and cover? *** RO ***

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 2:01 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: Run from the anchor and cover? (leobueno)

2nd play JSD < 1, so need to keep rolling out, but so close it may not matter much. However, all other plays JSD > 5. So it looks pretty clear that 15/9 is the way to go, statying put on the anchor.

Please explain why staying put makes sense.

Thanks.

The score (after 0 games) is: GNUbg 4, leobueno 4 (match to 5 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 3: leobueno to play 26

GNUbg115

'4X1X2O '2X '4X '1O '2O

' ' ' '4O3O3O2X ' ' '2X
leobueno142
Position ID: XsyDYQDw7sAEBg Match ID: cAm5AEAAIAAE

• leobueno moves 21/15 5/3

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 15/9 6/4 +0.035
51.8 17.4 1.6- 48.2 12.2 0.7 +0.035 +0.035
0.2 0.8 0.3- 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.004 0.004
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1019 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 15/9 5/3 +0.031 ( -0.005)
51.5 17.9 1.6- 48.5 12.7 0.8 +0.031 +0.031
0.2 0.8 0.3- 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.004 0.004
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1017 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
• 3 R 21/15 5/3 -0.002 ( -0.038)
49.9 15.7 1.1- 50.1 17.2 0.7 -0.002 -0.002
0.3 1.2 0.3- 0.3 1.4 0.3 0.007 0.007
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 21/15 6/4 -0.009 ( -0.044)
49.6 16.7 1.7- 50.4 17.0 0.8 -0.009 -0.009
0.3 1.3 0.5- 0.3 1.3 0.3 0.007 0.007
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 15/9 7/5 -0.017 ( -0.052)
49.2 14.5 1.2- 50.8 14.4 0.6 -0.017 -0.017
0.3 1.0 0.3- 0.3 1.1 0.2 0.006 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 R 7/1 5/3 -0.026 ( -0.061)
48.7 14.8 0.8- 51.3 14.8 0.8 -0.026 -0.026
0.3 1.1 0.5- 0.3 1.1 0.2 0.006 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
7 R 7/1 6/4 -0.031 ( -0.066)
48.5 16.7 1.0- 51.5 16.6 1.1 -0.031 -0.031
0.3 1.1 0.3- 0.3 1.3 0.4 0.006 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
8 R 15/7 -0.033 ( -0.069)
48.3 13.3 1.3- 51.7 10.9 0.4 -0.033 -0.033
0.3 1.0 0.5- 0.3 1.1 0.3 0.006 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697210686 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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