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What happened next

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 16 November 2012, at 5:57 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout: I had no clue what was going on here (Timothy Chow)

		White is eXtremeGammon score: 1 pip: 97 7 point match pip: 110 score: 2 Blue is Timothy Chow
XGID=a-BBBBBBA---a------cdcc-B-:1:1:1:00:2:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	72.03% (G: 19.81% B: 0.60%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	27.97% (G: 6.70% B: 0.44%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	73.18% (G: 18.95% B: 0.78%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	26.82% (G: 6.68% B: 1.09%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.601
Redouble:	+1.073
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.729 (-0.101)
Redouble/Take:	+0.830
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.170)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 First 4 moves and cube decisions: 4 ply Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.009 (+0.720...+0.738)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.018 (+0.812...+0.847)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 55 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

---

		White is eXtremeGammon score: 1 pip: 92 7 point match pip: 106 score: 2 Blue is Timothy Chow
XGID=-aBBBCBB--------a--cdccAA-:1:1:1:00:2:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	79.21% (G: 14.99% B: 0.52%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	20.79% (G: 5.74% B: 0.49%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	80.04% (G: 12.88% B: 0.75%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	19.96% (G: 6.98% B: 0.93%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.695
Redouble:	+1.319
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.886 (-0.114)
Redouble/Take:	+1.192 (+0.192)
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 First 4 moves and cube decisions: 4 ply Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.009 (+0.877...+0.894)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.016 (+1.176...+1.208)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 8 hours 45 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• I had no clue what was going on here
  Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 1:49 a.m.
  • I had no clue what was going on here
    konstantin -- Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 2:11 a.m.
    • I had no clue what was going on here
      lenny -- Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 2:35 a.m.
      • I had no clue what was going on here
        lenny -- Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 2:36 a.m.
  • I had no clue what was going on here
    poseidon -- Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 8:19 a.m.
  • I had no clue what was going on here
    Mr Majestyk -- Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 11:38 a.m.
  • I had no clue what was going on here
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 7:46 p.m.
  • Rollout: I had no clue what was going on here
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 16 November 2012, at 1:32 a.m.
    • What happened next
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 16 November 2012, at 5:57 p.m.