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BQ: Time is on my side, yes it is

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Wednesday, 21 November 2012, at 2:13 a.m.

In Response To: BQ: Time is on my side, yes it is (leobueno)

JSDs between top 2 plays > 3.7. Third play > 8.

Fairly clear you have to hit.

The score (after 0 games) is: GNUbg 0, leobueno 0

Move number 3: leobueno to play 21

GNUbg152

 '1X '2X4X2X ' ' ' ' '3O

 ' '2X3O2X3O2O3O ' ' '2X
leobueno132
Position ID: sjdgwAw4t4MDQA Match ID: cAkFAAAAAAAE

• leobueno moves bar/22

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.207 
  58.6 14.4 0.4 - 41.4 11.1 0.2
Cubeful equities:
 4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
1.No double +0.313 
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.687
3.Double, take +0.133 -0.180
Proper cube action:No double, take (20.8%)

 

Alert: very bad move ( -0.186)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 R bar/23*/22 +0.534
 
62.3 16.6 0.4- 37.7 7.7 0.3 +0.337 +0.534
0.2 0.2 0.0- 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.004 0.010
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1702 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 696413899 and quasi-random dice  
  Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R bar/23* 8/7 +0.479 ( -0.055)
 
60.8 17.7 0.6- 39.2 8.4 0.2 +0.312 +0.479
0.2 0.2 0.0- 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.004 0.011
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1701 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 696413899 and quasi-random dice  
  Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
3 R bar/22 +0.348 ( -0.186)
 
59.9 12.5 0.4- 40.1 11.1 0.2 +0.215 +0.348
0.3 0.3 0.1- 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.008 0.020
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  360 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 696413899 and quasi-random dice  
  Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 4 bar/24 8/6 +0.303 ( -0.231)
  58.6 14.9 0.5 - 41.4 11.8 0.3  
  4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]  
  5 4 bar/24 4/2 +0.259 ( -0.275)
  57.7 15.2 0.5 - 42.3 13.2 0.3  
  4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]  
  6 4 bar/24 6/4 +0.199 ( -0.334)
  56.2 13.7 0.5 - 43.8 12.8 0.3  
  4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]  
  7 4 bar/23* 7/6 +0.118 ( -0.416)
  53.0 16.8 0.7 - 47.0 14.3 0.5  
  4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]  
  8 4 bar/24 13/11 +0.065 ( -0.469)
  53.1 15.2 0.6 - 46.9 17.1 0.5  
  4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]  

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