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Rollout

Posted By: Michael Nielsen
Date: Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 12:51 p.m.

In Response To: Pointless double (Michael Nielsen)

I didn't think twice before taking this. It is a take for money, but pretty clear pass AtS.
White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 182
7 point match
pip: 143
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-B---dE---d-ea-A-AA:0:0:-1:00:2:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.93% (G:27.15% B:1.44%) 68.07% (G:27.74% B:1.60%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.07% (G:5.92% B:0.36%) 31.93% (G:6.35% B:0.34%)
Cubeless Equities +0.586 +1.260
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.919 (-0.081)±0.014 (+0.904..+0.933)
Double/Take:+1.110 (+0.110)±0.020 (+1.091..+1.130)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 56 minutes 29 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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