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What would you play OTB? - RO

Posted By: poseidon
Date: Wednesday, 5 December 2012, at 2:44 p.m.

In Response To: What would you play OTB? (poseidon)

18/15 13/11 is clearly best, by much more than I could imagine.

I suppose that better coverage of outfield combined with timming issues and white's lack of builders in her 13 pt are the answer here. In addition there are many return shots in case white hits any of the blots on 9pt and 11pt.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, player 01 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: player 01 to play 23

gnubg	131
player 01	153
Position ID: mM8OAyCwZ+FBIA Match ID: cAltAQAAAAAA

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity		-0.092	(Money: -0.091)
	0.477 0.102 0.003 - 0.523 0.144 0.004
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	-0.132
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+1.132
3.	Double, take	-0.557	-0.424
Proper cube action:		No double, take (27.3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	18/15 13/11	-0.307
			0.443 0.103 0.005 - 0.557 0.205 0.012 -0.228 -0.307 0.002 0.002 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 698252532
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	18/15 6/4	-0.389 ( -0.082)
			0.428 0.097 0.004 - 0.572 0.222 0.016 -0.285 -0.389 0.002 0.001 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 698252532
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	18/13	-0.402 ( -0.094)
			0.408 0.085 0.003 - 0.592 0.171 0.005 -0.274 -0.402 0.002 0.001 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 698252532
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	3	24/22 18/15	-0.540 ( -0.232)
			0.382 0.080 0.002 - 0.618 0.237 0.007
	5	2	13/8	-0.494 ( -0.187)
			0.395 0.089 0.003 - 0.605 0.228 0.008

Messages In This Thread

• What would you play OTB?
  poseidon -- Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 11:39 p.m.
  • What would you play OTB?
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 3 December 2012, at 12:28 a.m.
  • What would you play OTB?
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 3 December 2012, at 2:59 a.m.
  • What would you play OTB? - RO
    poseidon -- Wednesday, 5 December 2012, at 2:44 p.m.
    • What would you play OTB? - RO
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 6 December 2012, at 1:40 a.m.