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Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 6 December 2012, at 4:42 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Holding games are easy to play (Daniel Murphy)

1. White to play 64 -- after 8/2 8/4 White should play 20/10; after 7/1 7/3 White should play 7/1 6/2. Blue is better off after 7/1 7/3.

2. White to play 51 -- after 8/2 8/4 White should play 20/15 7/6; after 7/1 7/3 White should play 7/1. Blue is better off after 8/2 8/4.

3. White to play 43 -- after 8/2 8/4 White should play 20/17 20/16 (or possibly 20/13); after 7/1 7/3 White should play 7/4 6/2. Blue is better off after 8/2 8/4.

After 64: 8/2 8/4After 64: 7/1 7/3
White82

3X3X2X2X '2X1X ' ' ' ' '

1O1O3O3O2X3O2O ' ' '2O '
Blue78
Position ID: deeGAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AQETAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 20/10 -0.168
0.3570.0340.000-0.6420.0250.000 -0.276 -0.168
0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.001 0.002

White82

3X3X2X2X '2X1X ' ' ' ' '

2O '4O2O2X3O '2O ' '2O '
Blue78
Position ID: 8+aMAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AQETAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 7/1 6/2 -0.235
0.3330.0080.000-0.6660.0310.000 -0.355 -0.235
0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.001 0.002

White82

3X3X2X2X '2X1X ' ' ' ' '

1O1O3O3O2X3O2O ' ' '2O '
Blue78
Position ID: deeGAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AYEGAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 20/15 7/6 -0.303
0.3130.0370.000-0.6860.0630.001 -0.398 -0.303
0.0000.0010.000-0.0000.0010.000 0.001 0.002
2 R 7/1 -0.329 ( -0.025)
0.2930.0050.000-0.7060.0220.000 -0.431 -0.329
0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.001 0.002

White82

3X3X2X2X '2X1X ' ' ' ' '

2O '4O2O2X3O '2O ' '2O '
Blue78
Position ID: 8+aMAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AYEGAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 7/1 -0.203
0.3440.0090.000-0.6560.0180.000 -0.321 -0.203
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.002

White82

3X3X2X2X '2X1X ' ' ' ' '

1O1O3O3O2X3O2O ' ' '2O '
Blue78
Position ID: deeGAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AQEOAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 20/17 20/16 -0.249
0.3340.0300.001-0.6660.0530.001 -0.354 -0.249
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 20/13 -0.258 ( -0.009)
0.3230.0290.000-0.6770.0330.000 -0.358 -0.258
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 7/4 6/2 -0.360 ( -0.111)
0.2860.0050.000-0.7140.0370.001 -0.460 -0.360
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.002
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

White82

3X3X2X2X '2X1X ' ' ' ' '

2O '4O2O2X3O '2O ' '2O '
Blue78
Position ID: 8+aMAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AQEOAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 7/4 6/2 -0.238
0.3310.0090.000-0.6690.0280.001 -0.358 -0.238
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 6/3 6/2 -0.242 ( -0.004)
0.3290.0080.000-0.6710.0260.000 -0.362 -0.242
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 7/3 6/3 -0.247 ( -0.009)
0.3280.0080.000-0.6720.0280.001 -0.365 -0.247
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 7/3 4/1 -0.292 ( -0.054)
0.3100.0070.000-0.6900.0290.001 -0.403 -0.292
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 6/2 4/1 -0.319 ( -0.081)
0.3030.0050.000-0.6970.0350.001 -0.426 -0.319
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 R 20/13 -0.371 ( -0.132)
0.2790.0170.000-0.7210.0300.000 -0.456 -0.371
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.002
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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