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Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Rollout: Holding games are easy to play (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Thursday, 6 December 2012, at 4:42 p.m.
1. White to play 64 -- after 8/2 8/4 White should play 20/10; after 7/1 7/3 White should play 7/1 6/2. Blue is better off after 7/1 7/3.
2. White to play 51 -- after 8/2 8/4 White should play 20/15 7/6; after 7/1 7/3 White should play 7/1. Blue is better off after 8/2 8/4.
3. White to play 43 -- after 8/2 8/4 White should play 20/17 20/16 (or possibly 20/13); after 7/1 7/3 White should play 7/4 6/2. Blue is better off after 8/2 8/4.
After 64: 8/2 8/4 After 64: 7/1 7/3
White 82
Blue 78 Position ID: deeGAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AQETAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 20/10 -0.168
0.357 0.034 0.000 - 0.642 0.025 0.000 -0.276 -0.168 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.002
White 82
Blue 78 Position ID: 8+aMAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AQETAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 7/1 6/2 -0.235
0.333 0.008 0.000 - 0.666 0.031 0.000 -0.355 -0.235 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.002
White 82
Blue 78 Position ID: deeGAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AYEGAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 20/15 7/6 -0.303
0.313 0.037 0.000 - 0.686 0.063 0.001 -0.398 -0.303 0.000 0.001 0.000 - 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.002 2 R 7/1 -0.329 ( -0.025)
0.293 0.005 0.000 - 0.706 0.022 0.000 -0.431 -0.329 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.002
White 82
Blue 78 Position ID: 8+aMAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AYEGAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 7/1 -0.203
0.344 0.009 0.000 - 0.656 0.018 0.000 -0.321 -0.203 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.002
White 82
Blue 78 Position ID: deeGAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AQEOAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 20/17 20/16 -0.249
0.334 0.030 0.001 - 0.666 0.053 0.001 -0.354 -0.249 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.003 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R 20/13 -0.258 ( -0.009)
0.323 0.029 0.000 - 0.677 0.033 0.000 -0.358 -0.258 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.003 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 7/4 6/2 -0.360 ( -0.111)
0.286 0.005 0.000 - 0.714 0.037 0.001 -0.460 -0.360 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.002 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
White 82
Blue 78 Position ID: 8+aMAQB3mwUAAw Match ID: AQEOAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 7/4 6/2 -0.238
0.331 0.009 0.000 - 0.669 0.028 0.001 -0.358 -0.238 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.003 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 6/3 6/2 -0.242 ( -0.004)
0.329 0.008 0.000 - 0.671 0.026 0.000 -0.362 -0.242 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.003 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 7/3 6/3 -0.247 ( -0.009)
0.328 0.008 0.000 - 0.672 0.028 0.001 -0.365 -0.247 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.003 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 7/3 4/1 -0.292 ( -0.054)
0.310 0.007 0.000 - 0.690 0.029 0.001 -0.403 -0.292 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.003 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 R 6/2 4/1 -0.319 ( -0.081)
0.303 0.005 0.000 - 0.697 0.035 0.001 -0.426 -0.319 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.003 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 6 R 20/13 -0.371 ( -0.132)
0.279 0.017 0.000 - 0.721 0.030 0.000 -0.456 -0.371 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.002 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697436505 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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