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ROLLOUT

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Friday, 7 December 2012, at 12:38 a.m.

In Response To: Do you concur? (Mr Majestyk)

I wasn't expecting that! At the time I figured this too close to call but doubled anyway on the strength of my ML's.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 106
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--D---EbB---bDa-aaabbab---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 67.82% (G:2.42% B:0.04%) 68.95% (G:1.90% B:0.04%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 32.18% (G:3.89% B:0.15%) 31.05% (G:3.94% B:0.14%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.341 +0.715
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.520 (-0.058)±0.003 (+0.517..+0.523)
Double/Take:+0.578±0.005 (+0.574..+0.583)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.422)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 38 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

NBM

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