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XGR+: What to do as blue and why ?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 14 December 2012, at 11:29 a.m.

In Response To: XGR+: What to do as blue and why ? (Timothy Chow)

Gnubg 2-ply booboos on this sequence: ND and 61: 13/6 ... fan ... cube action?

Blue on roll, cube decision?

White107

 '3X '1X3O4X2X2X2X ' '1O

 ' '2O2O2O2O '1O ' '1O1O
Blue140
Position ID: Tt42AEBsm6iAAw Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.624
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.000
2.Double, take +1.224 +0.224
3.No double +0.933 -0.067
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Blue owns 2-cube0.7530.1740.005-0.2470.0600.002 +0.624 +0.933
Standard error0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.006
Player White owns 4-cube0.7880.1690.005-0.2120.0550.002 +1.384 +1.224
Standard error0.0020.0030.001-0.0020.0010.000 0.008 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 702928341 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.587
0.733 0.176 0.005 - 0.267 0.058 0.001
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.991
2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.009)
3. No double +0.878 ( -0.113)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

Cube analysis
4-ply cubeless equity +0.606
0.742 0.178 0.005 - 0.258 0.059 0.002
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.000
2. Double, take +1.036 ( +0.036)
3. No double +0.886 ( -0.114)
Proper cube action: Redouble, pass

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