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31P-41S-65 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 16 December 2012, at 3:17 a.m.

In Response To: More rollouts (Nack Ballard)

Run or split?

What is your play? Try to decide before reading the rollout result.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa--BD-B---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 65

1.Rollout124/18 13/8eq: +0.2981
Player:
Opponent:
57.12% (G:16.36% B:0.77%)
42.88% (G:11.30% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ±0.0027 (+0.2954...+0.3008) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 21 minutes
2.Rollout124/13eq: +0.2907 (-0.0074)
Player:
Opponent:
57.52% (G:13.67% B:0.60%)
42.48% (G:10.45% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ±0.0024 (+0.2883...+0.2931) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 15 minutes
3.Rollout213/2* eq: +0.2439 (-0.0542)
Player:
Opponent:
54.82% (G:19.62% B:1.02%)
45.18% (G:12.68% B:0.70%)
Conf.: ±0.0083 (+0.2355...+0.2522) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 59 seconds
 
1 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62847255
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62847255
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2012-Dec-15
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
31P-41S-65-tm.xgp
31P-41S-65  [S R7 H54]  "<=41*5

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

This is a new rollout of one of the variants discussed in this thread. Splitting beats running by a hair, or, if you prefer, the plays are tied according to the Ballard/Weaver Error Scale.

Mike

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