A pretty dramatic example of anchors being less valuable than normal at DMP. 7/4 20/18 gives you at least 0.5% more wins than any other play. OTB, I'd have quickly played 9/4. The XGR+ eval found the best play.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 20/18 7/4 | eq: -0.390 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.52% (G:3.51% B:0.17%)
69.48% (G:18.99% B:0.77%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.393...-0.386) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 10 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/11 7/4 | eq: -0.400 (-0.010) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.02% (G:3.23% B:0.13%)
69.98% (G:14.43% B:0.23%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.403...-0.397) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 05 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 9/4 | eq: -0.401 (-0.012) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.94% (G:3.08% B:0.12%)
70.06% (G:13.89% B:0.24%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.406...-0.397) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 02 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 7/4 5/3 | eq: -0.403 (-0.013) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.87% (G:3.37% B:0.14%)
70.13% (G:14.14% B:0.22%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.406...-0.400) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 56 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 13/8 | eq: -0.403 (-0.014) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.85% (G:3.11% B:0.12%)
70.15% (G:14.97% B:0.31%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.407...-0.399) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout2 | 13/11 13/10 | eq: -0.404 (-0.014) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.80% (G:2.89% B:0.18%)
70.20% (G:12.11% B:0.10%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.408...-0.400) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 29 seconds |
|
| 7. | Rollout2 | 21/18 20/18 | eq: -0.418 (-0.029) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.09% (G:2.63% B:0.09%)
70.91% (G:10.05% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.422...-0.414) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
to play 32
is Player 2