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3 more rollouts - and one more

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 8:03 a.m.

In Response To: 3 more rollouts (Philippe Michel)

Vanilla Gnubg:

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 4: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	68
Blue	154
Position ID: BgABFNsOIlAJAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.477
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.993
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.007
3.	No double	+0.948	-0.045
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.750 0.000 0.000 - 0.250 0.021 0.003 +0.477 +0.948 Standard error 0.002 0.000 0.000 - 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.007 Player White owns 4-cube 0.793 0.000 0.000 - 0.207 0.018 0.003 +1.128 +0.993 Standard error 0.002 0.000 0.000 - 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.007 0.009
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
7606 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 703368748 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.221
0.623 0.000 0.000 - 0.377 0.018 0.006
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.433
2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.567)
3. Double, take +0.186 ( -0.247)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (30.3%)

Cube analysis
3-ply cubeless equity +0.685
0.849 0.000 0.000 - 0.151 0.010 0.003
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.000
2. Double, take +1.267 ( +0.267)
3. No double +0.992 ( -0.008)
Proper cube action: Redouble, pass

Cube analysis
4-ply cubeless equity +0.247
0.636 0.000 0.000 - 0.364 0.019 0.006
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.463
2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.537)
3. Double, take +0.247 ( -0.217)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (28.8%)

Messages In This Thread

• Containment + XG question
  mtuhtan -- Saturday, 15 December 2012, at 5:38 p.m.
  • Containment + XG question
    rambiz -- Saturday, 15 December 2012, at 7:09 p.m.
  • Containment + XG question
    Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 15 December 2012, at 11:14 p.m.
    • Containment + XG question
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 15 December 2012, at 11:32 p.m.
    • Containment + XG question
      Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 16 December 2012, at 8:26 a.m.
  • Containment + XG question
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 16 December 2012, at 3:23 a.m.
  • Containment + XG question
    Maik Stiebler -- Sunday, 16 December 2012, at 7:41 a.m.
  • Evaluations on all levels
    mtuhtan -- Sunday, 16 December 2012, at 3:50 p.m.
    • 5 rollouts and 1 question
      mtuhtan -- Sunday, 16 December 2012, at 10:38 p.m.
      • correction
        mtuhtan -- Sunday, 16 December 2012, at 10:40 p.m.
      • 5 rollouts and 1 question
        Timothy Chow -- Monday, 17 December 2012, at 12:51 a.m.
        • 5 rollouts and 1 question
          Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 17 December 2012, at 8:11 a.m.
        • cubeless RO
          Maik Stiebler -- Monday, 17 December 2012, at 3:55 p.m.
          • cubeless RO -- Janowski takepoint
            Chuck Bower -- Monday, 17 December 2012, at 5:53 p.m.
            • cubeless RO -- Janowski takepoint
              Maik Stiebler -- Monday, 17 December 2012, at 8:22 p.m.
              • cubeless RO -- Janowski takepoint
                Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 12:27 a.m.
                • cubeless RO -- Janowski takepoint
                  Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 8:34 a.m.
      • 5 rollouts and 1 question
        Michael Depreli -- Monday, 17 December 2012, at 3:10 p.m.
    • 3 more rollouts
      Philippe Michel -- Monday, 17 December 2012, at 8:29 p.m.
      • 3 more rollouts
        neilkaz -- Monday, 17 December 2012, at 8:44 p.m.
      • 3 more rollouts - and one more
        Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 8:03 a.m.