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Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 6:37 p.m.

In Response To: Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown) (joe freedman)

Yes, this is a curious one. the blitzing play wins more games and more gammons, but all of the safe plays come out ahead in the equity.

The only thing I can figure is that after the blitzing play followed by a dance, blue is too-good but with marginal gammon chances. This means he plays on and loses some of those games instead of just cashing after making one of the safe plays. But I'm not sure I've gotten this right and i look forward to seeing what the better players have to say.

Messages In This Thread

• Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
  joe freedman -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 5:55 p.m.
  • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 6:36 p.m.
  • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 6:37 p.m.
  • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 6:37 p.m.
  • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
    Michael Nielsen -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 8:10 p.m.
    • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
      Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 8:50 p.m.
    • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 9:23 p.m.
      • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
        poseidon -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 9:35 p.m.
        • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 11:04 p.m.
  • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
    backgame -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 8:14 p.m.
  • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 9:12 p.m.
  • Can XG be right? (Analysis shown)
    joe freedman -- Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 10:18 p.m.
    • Can XG be right? (Analysis shown)
      Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 19 December 2012, at 2:04 a.m.
    • Can XG be right? (Analysis shown)
      ah_clem -- Wednesday, 19 December 2012, at 2:55 p.m.
      • Can XG be right? (Analysis shown)
        6stones -- Wednesday, 19 December 2012, at 5:08 p.m.
        • Can XG be right? (Analysis shown)
          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 20 December 2012, at 2:12 a.m.
          • Can XG be right? (Analysis shown)
            6stones -- Friday, 21 December 2012, at 11:26 a.m.
        • Can XG be right? (Analysis shown)
          Bob Koca -- Thursday, 20 December 2012, at 4:19 a.m.
      • Can XG be right? (Analysis shown)
        Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 20 December 2012, at 3:21 a.m.
  • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
    roadkillbooks -- Wednesday, 19 December 2012, at 7:47 a.m.
  • Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown)
    Stick -- Thursday, 20 December 2012, at 12:45 a.m.