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Can XG be right? (Analysis shown)

Posted By: joe freedman
Date: Tuesday, 18 December 2012, at 10:18 p.m.

In Response To: Can XG be right? (Analysis not shown) (joe freedman)

I appreciate the input. I never would have seen XG's play even if it were in a quiz. (No surprise.) Note that the non-double was wrong by only .003. Also, after the blitz play and a fan, blue's G chances exceed 13%, and it is TG. Further, even if white hits the 6-1, blue is not dead on most entries. Finally, after XG's play, white can stay in the game with 4-4 or 5-5. This is not to say that XG's play is wrong, but it seems very difficult to analyze, especially over the board.





White is ShakeemRollem

score: 2
pip: 104
7 point match
pip: 94
score: 1

Blue is blotto
XGID=--a-CCBCBB--a---a--ecbb---:0:0:1:00:1:2:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 87.25% (G:5.74% B:0.10%) 88.59% (G:5.74% B:0.07%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 12.75% (G:0.74% B:0.02%) 11.41% (G:0.49% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities +0.801 +1.745
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.997 (-0.003)
Double/Take:+1.666 (+0.666)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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