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BGonline.org Forums
And the winner is ........
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Neil or Stick? (Stick)
Date: Monday, 26 November 2007, at 4:59 a.m.
No clearcut winner and I'm finished rolling this out. (can't start concerning myself with fourth move rolls yet lol) What was interesting is when I started this rollout I used my actual desktop computer so I got to see its progress. After 1k trials Neil's play was ahead by a whopping .07! With every thousand or so trials Neil's play got worse (it was positive equity after the first 1k) and my play got better. They kept creeping closer and closer until finally I can sleep at night. If the split had ended up anywhere near a .03 error or above I was going to beat myself to death with a pen/flashlight combo.
gnubg 158
user 159 Position ID: 4PPgARKMZ/ABMA Match ID: cIkMAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 8/5 6/5 -0.0107
0.4908 0.1458 0.0053 - 0.5092 0.1262 0.0058 +0.0007 -0.0107 0.0008 0.0009 0.0002 - 0.0008 0.0008 0.0003 0.0021 0.0057 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1047287166 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R 24/20 -0.0161 ( -0.0054)
0.4971 0.1274 0.0048 - 0.5029 0.1286 0.0046 -0.0068 -0.0161 0.0007 0.0008 0.0002 - 0.0007 0.0008 0.0002 0.0018 0.0048 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1047287166 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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