In general I've been rather delinquent about posting actual analysis lately, and have only posted rollouts and vague speculations. Here at least I did roll out a variant. For this particular problem, though, I think people's comments have already provided some good analysis.
          
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 134 | Money session
Jacoby | pip: 175
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a----E-C-a-cD---a-ebbB--A:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/18 | eq: -0.808 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.13% (G:5.49% B:0.24%)
67.87% (G:23.14% B:0.74%) | Conf: ± 0.017 (-0.825...-0.791)
Duration: 9 hours 55 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 13/7 | eq: -0.850 (-0.042) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.02% (G:5.82% B:0.24%)
66.98% (G:27.37% B:1.32%) | Conf: ± 0.018 (-0.868...-0.832)
Duration: 9 hours 44 minutes |
|
| |
1 3288 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 134 | Money session
Jacoby | pip: 182
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a----D-C-a-cE---a-ebbB--A:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 13/7 | eq: -0.759 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.31% (G:6.19% B:0.26%)
64.69% (G:29.18% B:1.31%) | Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.779...-0.739)
Duration: 10 hours 53 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/18 | eq: -0.829 (-0.070) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.53% (G:5.21% B:0.20%)
67.47% (G:24.61% B:0.78%) | Conf: ± 0.018 (-0.847...-0.811)
Duration: 11 hours 03 minutes |
|
| |
1 3286 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21